Cape Fear River at Lock 1
Future / Actual / Minor
OWP 2.0 WWA Modal Title
01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC through 01/11/2021, 10:04 PM UTC
Sender
Sent
- Warning: no valid ratings curve available. Transformations to and from FEET/CFS/KCFS will not happen.
Traces and Thresholds Click to turn on/off display
Observed (OBS) 04/01/2025 7:45 PM EDTOfficial Forecast (FCST) 04/01/2025 9:05 AM EDTRecord: 30.7 ftCATEGORY STAGE Major Flooding 28 ft Moderate Flooding 26 ft Minor Flooding 24 ft Action 22 ft Reliability of the Forecast:
NOTE: Forecasts are issued routinely year-round.
River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 48 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.
National Water Model Hydrograph
Official NWS streamflow forecasts are produced by NWS hydrologic forecasters for river gauge locations using hydrologic models which are calibrated to that location. This process considers additional guidance and information, including local expertise and experience, to produce the best forecast possible. The NWM output provides supplemental guidance to NWS forecasters and should not be considered an official NWS river forecast.
Flood Impacts
- 30 - Flooding similar to Hurricane Florence in 2018. Highway 11 between the Cape Fear River and Natmore Road near Kelly will be flooded. The Canetuck area may be flooded. Several roads near Kelly and Canetuck may be flooded. The railroad between Navassa and Wilmington may flood as the crest works downstream and moderate or higher tidal flooding will occur at downtown Wilmington within a week of the crest at Lock 1.
- 28 - Flooding similar to Hurricane Matthew in 2016. Highway 11 between the Cape Fear River and Natmore Road near Kelly will be flooded. The Canetuck area may be flooded especially if the Black River is also flooding. The railroad between Navassa and Wilmington may flood as the crest works downstream and moderate or higher tidal flooding will occur at downtown Wilmington within a week of the crest at Lock 1.
- 26 - Highway 11 will begin to flood between the Cape Fear River and Natmore Road. Other roads near Kelly and Canetuck may flood. Moderate flooding of swamps and low lands. Flooding similar to that reached with the remnants of Hurricane Hilda in 1964.
Gauge Info
Coordinates | 34.4044, -78.2936 |
RFC | SERFC |
State | NC |
WFO | ILM |
County | Bladen |
Data Provider(s) | |
US Geological Survey | USGS--Water Resources of the United States |
USGS | 02105769 |
Gauge Location
Recent Crests
1. | 21.39 ft | on 04-13-2023 |
2. | 21.10 ft | on 03-21-2022 |
3. | 22.67 ft | on 02-20-2021 |
4. | 22.04 ft | on 01-07-2021 |
5. | 23.25 ft | on 11-17-2020 |
Recent Crests
1. | 21.39 ft | on 04-13-2023 | |
2. | 21.10 ft | on 03-21-2022 | |
3. | 22.67 ft | on 02-20-2021 | |
4. | 22.04 ft | on 01-07-2021 | |
5. | 23.25 ft | on 11-17-2020 | |
6. | 23.27 ft | on 02-12-2020 | |
7. | 19.63 ft | on 04-26-2019 | |
8. | 20.18 ft | on 04-12-2019 | |
9. | 19.69 ft | on 03-24-2019 | |
10. | 20.37 ft | on 03-07-2019 | |
11. | 21.09 ft | on 02-27-2019 | |
12. | 20.50 ft | on 01-27-2019 | |
13. | 20.86 ft | on 01-17-2019 | |
14. | 21.09 ft | on 01-08-2019 | |
15. | 20.97 ft | on 01-03-2019 | |
16. | 20.81 ft | on 12-25-2018 | |
17. | 21.09 ft | on 12-19-2018 | |
18. | 21.06 ft | on 12-14-2018 | |
19. | 20.69 ft | on 12-06-2018 | |
20. | 20.18 ft | on 11-29-2018 | |
21. | 23.75 ft | on 11-19-2018 | |
22. | 19.84 ft | on 10-15-2018 | |
23. | 30.68 ft | on 09-21-2018 | |
24. | 19.84 ft | on 04-28-2018 | |
25. | 19.79 ft | on 04-19-2018 | |
26. | 20.93 ft | on 04-30-2017 | |
27. | 28.58 ft | on 10-13-2016 | |
28. | 21.36 ft | on 10-03-2016 | |
29. | 20.58 ft | on 02-28-2016 | |
30. | 20.26 ft | on 02-20-2016 | |
31. | 20.73 ft | on 02-08-2016 | |
32. | 21.88 ft | on 01-05-2016 | |
33. | 22.51 ft | on 12-28-2015 | |
34. | 20.72 ft | on 11-24-2015 | |
35. | 20.76 ft | on 11-13-2015 | |
36. | 20.77 ft | on 11-07-2015 | |
37. | 21.13 ft | on 10-07-2015 | |
38. | 20.01 ft | on 04-23-2015 | |
39. | 20.46 ft | on 03-09-2015 | |
40. | 20.08 ft | on 01-15-2015 | |
41. | 19.76 ft | on 12-27-2014 | |
42. | 20.28 ft | on 05-19-2014 | |
43. | 19.77 ft | on 04-22-2014 | |
44. | 20.28 ft | on 03-23-2014 | |
45. | 21.33 ft | on 03-12-2014 | |
46. | 20.84 ft | on 02-24-2014 | |
47. | 20.97 ft | on 01-15-2014 | |
48. | 20.50 ft | on 01-03-2014 | |
49. | 21.28 ft | on 07-16-2013 | |
50. | 21.63 ft | on 07-06-2013 | |
51. | 21.48 ft | on 06-12-2013 | |
52. | 19.37 ft | on 03-31-2012 | |
53. | 18.68 ft | on 12-02-2011 | |
54. | 19.44 ft | on 10-03-2010 | |
55. | 22.59 ft | on 02-11-2010 | |
56. | 20.33 ft | on 01-29-2010 | |
57. | 19.59 ft | on 12-29-2009 | |
58. | 19.69 ft | on 11-16-2009 | |
59. | 20.60 ft | on 03-05-2009 | |
60. | 20.77 ft | on 09-10-2008 | |
61. | 19.93 ft | on 04-08-2008 | |
62. | 19.91 ft | on 04-19-2007 | |
63. | 19.75 ft | on 03-06-2007 | |
64. | 20.29 ft | on 12-29-2006 | |
65. | 22.71 ft | on 11-27-2006 | |
66. | 20.40 ft | on 06-18-2006 | |
67. | 19.82 ft | on 01-18-2005 | |
68. | 20.48 ft | on 09-13-2004 | |
69. | 19.35 ft | on 09-02-2004 | |
70. | 18.70 ft | on 08-17-2004 | |
71. | 21.49 ft | on 08-14-2003 | |
72. | 19.78 ft | on 07-07-2003 | |
73. | 20.91 ft | on 05-30-2003 | |
74. | 23.72 ft | on 04-15-2003 | |
75. | 21.59 ft | on 03-26-2003 | |
76. | 20.91 ft | on 03-10-2003 | |
77. | 19.57 ft | on 11-22-2002 | |
78. | 19.43 ft | on 01-26-2002 | |
79. | 20.13 ft | on 04-08-2001 | |
80. | 20.12 ft | on 02-04-2000 | |
81. | 20.70 ft | on 10-21-1999 | |
82. | 21.37 ft | on 10-04-1999 | |
83. | 23.30 ft | on 09-20-1999 | |
84. | 19.52 ft | on 09-08-1999 | |
85. | 20.48 ft | on 01-28-1999 | |
86. | 19.83 ft | on 04-13-1998 | |
87. | 24.16 ft | on 03-24-1998 | |
88. | 22.34 ft | on 03-14-1998 | |
89. | 22.71 ft | on 02-23-1998 | |
90. | 22.68 ft | on 02-09-1998 | |
91. | 21.90 ft | on 02-01-1998 | |
92. | 20.24 ft | on 01-12-1998 | |
93. | 20.79 ft | on 07-29-1997 | |
94. | 20.85 ft | on 05-04-1997 | |
95. | 20.58 ft | on 02-19-1997 | |
96. | 20.68 ft | on 10-12-1996 | |
97. | 24.90 ft | on 09-12-1996 | |
98. | 20.00 ft | on 01-30-1996 | |
99. | 19.96 ft | on 11-12-1995 | |
100. | 20.42 ft | on 10-09-1995 | |
101. | 21.49 ft | on 07-05-1995 | |
102. | 19.66 ft | on 06-22-1995 | |
103. | 20.28 ft | on 03-12-1995 | |
104. | 20.23 ft | on 03-05-1995 | |
105. | 22.75 ft | on 02-22-1995 | |
106. | 20.63 ft | on 01-20-1995 | |
107. | 20.07 ft | on 04-05-1994 | |
108. | 21.65 ft | on 03-07-1994 | |
109. | 21.86 ft | on 04-11-1993 | |
110. | 20.79 ft | on 03-31-1993 | |
111. | 20.77 ft | on 03-19-1993 | |
112. | 20.85 ft | on 03-09-1993 | |
113. | 20.81 ft | on 01-16-1993 | |
114. | 20.03 ft | on 11-30-1992 | |
115. | 19.90 ft | on 04-28-1992 | |
116. | 19.90 ft | on 04-06-1991 | |
117. | 20.43 ft | on 01-16-1991 | |
118. | 20.39 ft | on 10-30-1990 | |
119. | 19.55 ft | on 06-01-1990 | |
120. | 20.25 ft | on 04-05-1990 | |
121. | 20.02 ft | on 02-26-1990 | |
122. | 20.10 ft | on 12-18-1989 | |
123. | 20.53 ft | on 10-07-1989 | |
124. | 20.18 ft | on 07-21-1989 | |
125. | 21.18 ft | on 05-08-1989 | |
126. | 19.83 ft | on 04-18-1989 | |
127. | 21.55 ft | on 03-29-1989 | |
128. | 21.58 ft | on 03-29-1989 | |
129. | 21.25 ft | on 03-10-1989 | |
130. | 20.45 ft | on 02-26-1989 | |
131. | 18.86 ft | on 01-23-1988 | |
132. | 20.26 ft | on 04-25-1987 | |
133. | 23.61 ft | on 03-06-1987 | |
134. | 21.80 ft | on 01-27-1987 | |
135. | 19.48 ft | on 08-23-1986 | |
136. | 20.76 ft | on 11-27-1985 | |
137. | 20.52 ft | on 02-06-1985 | |
138. | 18.48 ft | on 09-15-1984 | |
139. | 21.78 ft | on 04-03-1984 | |
140. | 22.07 ft | on 03-23-1983 | |
141. | 21.30 ft | on 06-15-1982 | |
142. | 19.79 ft | on 02-15-1981 | |
143. | 21.03 ft | on 03-25-1980 | |
144. | 24.92 ft | on 03-03-1979 | |
145. | 22.88 ft | on 01-31-1978 | |
146. | 22.34 ft | on 09-10-1977 | |
147. | 20.86 ft | on 01-14-1977 | |
148. | 20.30 ft | on 01-31-1976 | |
149. | 24.30 ft | on 07-21-1975 | |
150. | 23.50 ft | on 03-22-1975 | |
151. | 22.90 ft | on 01-18-1975 | |
152. | 20.60 ft | on 08-10-1974 | |
153. | 20.90 ft | on 06-27-1973 | |
154. | 24.20 ft | on 04-06-1973 | |
155. | 24.77 ft | on 02-08-1973 | |
156. | 22.88 ft | on 12-21-1972 | |
157. | 21.65 ft | on 02-08-1972 | |
158. | 23.34 ft | on 03-08-1971 | |
159. | 20.94 ft | on 02-21-1970 | |
160. | 23.34 ft | on 08-19-1969 | |
161. | 26.00 ft | on 10-09-1964 | 1 |
162. | 29.80 ft | on 09-23-1945 | 1 |
Historic Crests
1. | 30.68 ft | on 09-21-2018 | |
2. | 29.80 ft | on 09-23-1945 | 1 |
3. | 28.58 ft | on 10-13-2016 | |
4. | 26.00 ft | on 10-09-1964 | 1 |
5. | 24.92 ft | on 03-03-1979 |
Historic Crests
1. | 30.68 ft | on 09-21-2018 | |
2. | 29.80 ft | on 09-23-1945 | 1 |
3. | 28.58 ft | on 10-13-2016 | |
4. | 26.00 ft | on 10-09-1964 | 1 |
5. | 24.92 ft | on 03-03-1979 | |
6. | 24.90 ft | on 09-12-1996 | |
7. | 24.77 ft | on 02-08-1973 | |
8. | 24.30 ft | on 07-21-1975 | |
9. | 24.20 ft | on 04-06-1973 | |
10. | 24.16 ft | on 03-24-1998 | |
11. | 23.75 ft | on 11-19-2018 | |
12. | 23.72 ft | on 04-15-2003 | |
13. | 23.61 ft | on 03-06-1987 | |
14. | 23.50 ft | on 03-22-1975 | |
15. | 23.34 ft | on 03-08-1971 | |
16. | 23.34 ft | on 08-19-1969 | |
17. | 23.30 ft | on 09-20-1999 | |
18. | 23.27 ft | on 02-12-2020 | |
19. | 23.25 ft | on 11-17-2020 | |
20. | 22.90 ft | on 01-18-1975 | |
21. | 22.88 ft | on 12-21-1972 | |
22. | 22.88 ft | on 01-31-1978 | |
23. | 22.75 ft | on 02-22-1995 | |
24. | 22.71 ft | on 11-27-2006 | |
25. | 22.71 ft | on 02-23-1998 | |
26. | 22.68 ft | on 02-09-1998 | |
27. | 22.67 ft | on 02-20-2021 | |
28. | 22.59 ft | on 02-11-2010 | |
29. | 22.51 ft | on 12-28-2015 | |
30. | 22.34 ft | on 03-14-1998 | |
31. | 22.34 ft | on 09-10-1977 | |
32. | 22.07 ft | on 03-23-1983 | |
33. | 22.04 ft | on 01-07-2021 | |
34. | 21.90 ft | on 02-01-1998 | |
35. | 21.88 ft | on 01-05-2016 | |
36. | 21.86 ft | on 04-11-1993 | |
37. | 21.80 ft | on 01-27-1987 | |
38. | 21.78 ft | on 04-03-1984 | |
39. | 21.65 ft | on 03-07-1994 | |
40. | 21.65 ft | on 02-08-1972 | |
41. | 21.63 ft | on 07-06-2013 | |
42. | 21.59 ft | on 03-26-2003 | |
43. | 21.58 ft | on 03-29-1989 | |
44. | 21.55 ft | on 03-29-1989 | |
45. | 21.49 ft | on 07-05-1995 | |
46. | 21.49 ft | on 08-14-2003 | |
47. | 21.48 ft | on 06-12-2013 | |
48. | 21.39 ft | on 04-13-2023 | |
49. | 21.37 ft | on 10-04-1999 | |
50. | 21.36 ft | on 10-03-2016 | |
51. | 21.33 ft | on 03-12-2014 | |
52. | 21.30 ft | on 06-15-1982 | |
53. | 21.28 ft | on 07-16-2013 | |
54. | 21.25 ft | on 03-10-1989 | |
55. | 21.18 ft | on 05-08-1989 | |
56. | 21.13 ft | on 10-07-2015 | |
57. | 21.10 ft | on 03-21-2022 | |
58. | 21.09 ft | on 01-08-2019 | |
59. | 21.09 ft | on 02-27-2019 | |
60. | 21.09 ft | on 12-19-2018 | |
61. | 21.06 ft | on 12-14-2018 | |
62. | 21.03 ft | on 03-25-1980 | |
63. | 20.97 ft | on 01-03-2019 | |
64. | 20.97 ft | on 01-15-2014 | |
65. | 20.94 ft | on 02-21-1970 | |
66. | 20.93 ft | on 04-30-2017 | |
67. | 20.91 ft | on 03-10-2003 | |
68. | 20.91 ft | on 05-30-2003 | |
69. | 20.90 ft | on 06-27-1973 | |
70. | 20.86 ft | on 01-14-1977 | |
71. | 20.86 ft | on 01-17-2019 | |
72. | 20.85 ft | on 03-09-1993 | |
73. | 20.85 ft | on 05-04-1997 | |
74. | 20.84 ft | on 02-24-2014 | |
75. | 20.81 ft | on 12-25-2018 | |
76. | 20.81 ft | on 01-16-1993 | |
77. | 20.79 ft | on 03-31-1993 | |
78. | 20.79 ft | on 07-29-1997 | |
79. | 20.77 ft | on 09-10-2008 | |
80. | 20.77 ft | on 11-07-2015 | |
81. | 20.77 ft | on 03-19-1993 | |
82. | 20.76 ft | on 11-27-1985 | |
83. | 20.76 ft | on 11-13-2015 | |
84. | 20.73 ft | on 02-08-2016 | |
85. | 20.72 ft | on 11-24-2015 | |
86. | 20.70 ft | on 10-21-1999 | |
87. | 20.69 ft | on 12-06-2018 | |
88. | 20.68 ft | on 10-12-1996 | |
89. | 20.63 ft | on 01-20-1995 | |
90. | 20.60 ft | on 03-05-2009 | |
91. | 20.60 ft | on 08-10-1974 | |
92. | 20.58 ft | on 02-28-2016 | |
93. | 20.58 ft | on 02-19-1997 | |
94. | 20.53 ft | on 10-07-1989 | |
95. | 20.52 ft | on 02-06-1985 | |
96. | 20.50 ft | on 01-03-2014 | |
97. | 20.50 ft | on 01-27-2019 | |
98. | 20.48 ft | on 09-13-2004 | |
99. | 20.48 ft | on 01-28-1999 | |
100. | 20.46 ft | on 03-09-2015 | |
101. | 20.45 ft | on 02-26-1989 | |
102. | 20.43 ft | on 01-16-1991 | |
103. | 20.42 ft | on 10-09-1995 | |
104. | 20.40 ft | on 06-18-2006 | |
105. | 20.39 ft | on 10-30-1990 | |
106. | 20.37 ft | on 03-07-2019 | |
107. | 20.33 ft | on 01-29-2010 | |
108. | 20.30 ft | on 01-31-1976 | |
109. | 20.29 ft | on 12-29-2006 | |
110. | 20.28 ft | on 03-12-1995 | |
111. | 20.28 ft | on 03-23-2014 | |
112. | 20.28 ft | on 05-19-2014 | |
113. | 20.26 ft | on 02-20-2016 | |
114. | 20.26 ft | on 04-25-1987 | |
115. | 20.25 ft | on 04-05-1990 | |
116. | 20.24 ft | on 01-12-1998 | |
117. | 20.23 ft | on 03-05-1995 | |
118. | 20.18 ft | on 11-29-2018 | |
119. | 20.18 ft | on 07-21-1989 | |
120. | 20.18 ft | on 04-12-2019 | |
121. | 20.13 ft | on 04-08-2001 | |
122. | 20.12 ft | on 02-04-2000 | |
123. | 20.10 ft | on 12-18-1989 | |
124. | 20.08 ft | on 01-15-2015 | |
125. | 20.07 ft | on 04-05-1994 | |
126. | 20.03 ft | on 11-30-1992 | |
127. | 20.02 ft | on 02-26-1990 | |
128. | 20.01 ft | on 04-23-2015 | |
129. | 20.00 ft | on 01-30-1996 | |
130. | 19.96 ft | on 11-12-1995 | |
131. | 19.93 ft | on 04-08-2008 | |
132. | 19.91 ft | on 04-19-2007 | |
133. | 19.90 ft | on 04-28-1992 | |
134. | 19.90 ft | on 04-06-1991 | |
135. | 19.84 ft | on 04-28-2018 | |
136. | 19.84 ft | on 10-15-2018 | |
137. | 19.83 ft | on 04-13-1998 | |
138. | 19.83 ft | on 04-18-1989 | |
139. | 19.82 ft | on 01-18-2005 | |
140. | 19.79 ft | on 04-19-2018 | |
141. | 19.79 ft | on 02-15-1981 | |
142. | 19.78 ft | on 07-07-2003 | |
143. | 19.77 ft | on 04-22-2014 | |
144. | 19.76 ft | on 12-27-2014 | |
145. | 19.75 ft | on 03-06-2007 | |
146. | 19.69 ft | on 11-16-2009 | |
147. | 19.69 ft | on 03-24-2019 | |
148. | 19.66 ft | on 06-22-1995 | |
149. | 19.63 ft | on 04-26-2019 | |
150. | 19.59 ft | on 12-29-2009 | |
151. | 19.57 ft | on 11-22-2002 | |
152. | 19.55 ft | on 06-01-1990 | |
153. | 19.52 ft | on 09-08-1999 | |
154. | 19.48 ft | on 08-23-1986 | |
155. | 19.44 ft | on 10-03-2010 | |
156. | 19.43 ft | on 01-26-2002 | |
157. | 19.37 ft | on 03-31-2012 | |
158. | 19.35 ft | on 09-02-2004 | |
159. | 18.86 ft | on 01-23-1988 | |
160. | 18.70 ft | on 08-17-2004 | |
161. | 18.68 ft | on 12-02-2011 | |
162. | 18.48 ft | on 09-15-1984 |
Low Water Records
1. | 13.97 ft | on 08-10-2002 |
2. | 14.28 ft | on 10-18-2007 |
3. | 14.45 ft | on 09-12-2007 |
4. | 14.46 ft | on 11-11-2006 |
5. | 14.52 ft | on 08-16-2007 |
Low Water Records
1. | 13.97 ft | on 08-10-2002 |
2. | 14.28 ft | on 10-18-2007 |
3. | 14.45 ft | on 09-12-2007 |
4. | 14.46 ft | on 11-11-2006 |
5. | 14.52 ft | on 08-16-2007 |
6. | 14.54 ft | on 10-07-1981 |
7. | 14.56 ft | on 07-01-1981 |
8. | 14.58 ft | on 09-15-2009 |
9. | 14.62 ft | on 10-05-2009 |
10. | 14.64 ft | on 07-25-2011 |
11. | 14.65 ft | on 09-26-2010 |
12. | 14.66 ft | on 07-04-2008 |
13. | 14.75 ft | on 06-21-2011 |
14. | 14.75 ft | on 06-02-2006 |
15. | 14.77 ft | on 07-27-2007 |
16. | 14.78 ft | on 09-06-2005 |
17. | 14.79 ft | on 07-23-2007 |
18. | 14.83 ft | on 06-03-2007 |
19. | 14.85 ft | on 05-27-2011 |
Gauge Photos
Probability Information
Unique Local Info
Potential River Levels Used to Estimate the Chance of Flooding and the Range of Possible River Levels |
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10 Day (HEFS) | 10 Day (NAEFS) | 10 Day (GEFS) |
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Note: The official hydrograph at the top of this web page was made by a river forecaster using past rainfall and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. The Potential River Level graphics are computer generated and most useful for rain expected beyond 48 hours.
Click individual graphics to enlarge.
Collaborative Agencies
The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.